Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 26
St. Mirren
STM
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Mirren47%
Draw25%
St. Johnstone28%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.30
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Mirren will have the ball; St. Johnstone will not mind.
50%Possession42%
30%Territory36%
28%From set plays40%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.3%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Mirren, 4 for St. Johnstone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.