Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 26
Rangers
RAN
Kilmarnock
KIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rangers65%
Draw19%
Kilmarnock16%
Expected goals
2.48 – 1.24
Over 2.5
71%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.7%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–17.6%
- 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession54%
41%Territory37%
12%From set plays26%
0.15Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rangers, 4 for Kilmarnock. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.