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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 26

Motherwell

MOT

Celtic

CEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Motherwell33%
Draw26%
Celtic42%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.62

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celtic will have the ball; Motherwell will not mind.

50%Possession61%
33%Territory43%
23%From set plays20%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.0%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 4 for Celtic.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.