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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 26

Dundee United

DUD

Hibernian

HIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dundee United42%
Draw28%
Hibernian30%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.21

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hibernian will have the ball; Dundee United will not mind.

47%Possession56%
36%Territory32%
29%From set plays44%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee United, 3 for Hibernian. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.