Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 26
Aberdeen
ABE
Falkirk
FAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aberdeen49%
Draw27%
Falkirk25%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.09
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Aberdeen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession41%
36%Territory28%
33%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aberdeen, 4 for Falkirk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.