Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 25
St. Johnstone
STJ
Dundee United
DUD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Johnstone33%
Draw26%
Dundee United41%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.57
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession47%
36%Territory36%
40%From set plays29%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Johnstone, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.