Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 25
Dundee FC
DUN
Hibernian
HIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee FC45%
Draw26%
Hibernian29%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.32
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.1%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession56%
26%Territory32%
48%From set plays44%
0.14Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 3 for Hibernian. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.