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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 25

Celtic

CEL

Falkirk

FAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celtic63%
Draw21%
Falkirk16%

Expected goals

2.05 – 0.97

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celtic will have the ball; Falkirk will not mind.

61%Possession41%
43%Territory28%
20%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.10
3.8%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celtic, 4 for Falkirk.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.