Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 25
Aberdeen
ABE
Rangers
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aberdeen32%
Draw25%
Rangers43%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.68
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.0%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rangers will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.
45%Possession58%
36%Territory41%
33%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.15
5.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aberdeen, 3 for Rangers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.