Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 24
St. Mirren
STM
Celtic
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Mirren21%
Draw23%
Celtic56%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.97
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celtic will have the ball; St. Mirren will not mind.
50%Possession61%
30%Territory43%
28%From set plays20%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Mirren, 4 for Celtic.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.