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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 24

Rangers

RAN

St. Johnstone

STJ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rangers72%
Draw16%
St. Johnstone12%

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.02

Over 2.5

69%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–09.3%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 3–18.0%
  • 3–07.7%
  • 1–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rangers will have the ball; St. Johnstone will not mind.

58%Possession42%
41%Territory36%
12%From set plays40%
0.15Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rangers, 4 for St. Johnstone. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.