Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 24
Motherwell
MOT
Dundee United
DUD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motherwell50%
Draw25%
Dundee United25%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.17
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession47%
33%Territory36%
21%From set plays29%
0.14Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Motherwell
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.