Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 24
Dundee FC
DUN
Aberdeen
ABE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee FC40%
Draw25%
Aberdeen34%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.49
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.8%
- 1–07.6%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dundee FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession45%
26%Territory36%
48%From set plays33%
0.14Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 3 for Aberdeen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.