Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 23
St. Johnstone
STJ
Falkirk
FAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Johnstone35%
Draw27%
Falkirk38%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.41
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Johnstone get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession41%
36%Territory28%
40%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Johnstone, 4 for Falkirk.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.