Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 23
Hibernian
HIB
Motherwell
MOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hibernian34%
Draw28%
Motherwell38%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.38
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hibernian get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession50%
32%Territory33%
44%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.8%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hibernian, 4 for Motherwell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.