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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 23

Celtic

CEL

Dundee FC

DUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celtic62%
Draw20%
Dundee FC18%

Expected goals

2.30 – 1.22

Over 2.5

67%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–18.5%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celtic will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

61%Possession48%
43%Territory26%
20%From set plays48%
0.13Chance quality0.14
3.8%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celtic, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.