Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 22
Rangers
RAN
Celtic
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rangers43%
Draw24%
Celtic33%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.55
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession61%
41%Territory43%
12%From set plays20%
0.15Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rangers, 4 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.