Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 22
Motherwell
MOT
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motherwell62%
Draw21%
St. Johnstone17%
Expected goals
2.11 – 1.06
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–19.4%
- 2–09.4%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Johnstone get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession42%
33%Territory36%
21%From set plays40%
0.14Chance quality0.11
5.1%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 4 for St. Johnstone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Motherwell
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.