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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 22

Motherwell

MOT

St. Johnstone

STJ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Motherwell46%
Draw24%
St. Johnstone30%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.43

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Motherwell will have the ball; St. Johnstone will not mind.

64%Possession50%
40%Territory36%
14%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.14
2.8%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 4 for St. Johnstone.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.