Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 22
Falkirk
FAL
Hibernian
HIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Falkirk36%
Draw26%
Hibernian38%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.58
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hibernian will have the ball; Falkirk will not mind.
43%Possession56%
32%Territory39%
11%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 4 for Hibernian.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.