Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 22
Falkirk
FAL
Hibernian
HIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Falkirk39%
Draw29%
Hibernian32%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.17
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hibernian will have the ball; Falkirk will not mind.
41%Possession56%
28%Territory32%
16%From set plays44%
0.10Chance quality0.11
7.6%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 3 for Hibernian. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.