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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 22

Dundee FC

DUN

Dundee United

DUD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dundee FC45%
Draw25%
Dundee United30%

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.40

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dundee FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession47%
26%Territory36%
48%From set plays29%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.