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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 22

Dundee FC

DUN

Dundee United

DUD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dundee FC38%
Draw26%
Dundee United36%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.49

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dundee United will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

36%Possession46%
26%Territory33%
26%From set plays48%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.