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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 21

Rangers

RAN

Dundee FC

DUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rangers58%
Draw23%
Dundee FC19%

Expected goals

1.92 – 1.05

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.4%
  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rangers will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

51%Possession36%
34%Territory26%
22%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.13
6.3%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rangers, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.