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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 21

Hibernian

HIB

St. Mirren

STM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hibernian46%
Draw24%
St. Mirren30%

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.45

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–07.5%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hibernian will have the ball; St. Mirren will not mind.

56%Possession46%
39%Territory34%
18%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.11
4.2%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hibernian, 4 for St. Mirren.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.