Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 21
Hibernian
HIB
St. Mirren
STM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hibernian48%
Draw26%
St. Mirren25%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.13
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hibernian get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession50%
32%Territory30%
44%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.8%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hibernian, 4 for St. Mirren. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.