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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 21

Dundee United

DUD

Celtic

CEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dundee United26%
Draw25%
Celtic49%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.78

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 0–27.2%
  • 2–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celtic will have the ball; Dundee United will not mind.

47%Possession61%
36%Territory43%
29%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.4%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee United, 4 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.