Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 21
Aberdeen
ABE
Motherwell
MOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aberdeen39%
Draw26%
Motherwell34%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.40
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Motherwell will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.
41%Possession64%
32%Territory40%
33%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.5%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Aberdeen, 4 for Motherwell.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.