Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 20
St. Johnstone
STJ
Aberdeen
ABE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Johnstone45%
Draw26%
Aberdeen29%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.26
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Johnstone will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.
50%Possession41%
36%Territory32%
15%From set plays33%
0.14Chance quality0.07
3.4%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Johnstone, 4 for Aberdeen.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.