Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 20
Kilmarnock
KIL
Rangers
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kilmarnock26%
Draw25%
Rangers50%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.77
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–27.5%
- 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession51%
39%Territory34%
32%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kilmarnock, 4 for Rangers.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kilmarnock
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.