Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 20
Kilmarnock
KIL
Rangers
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kilmarnock26%
Draw22%
Rangers52%
Expected goals
1.47 – 2.08
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.2%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.5%
- 2–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession58%
37%Territory41%
26%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.15
6.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kilmarnock, 3 for Rangers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.