Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 20
Falkirk
FAL
Dundee United
DUD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Falkirk39%
Draw28%
Dundee United33%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.25
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession47%
28%Territory36%
16%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.10
7.6%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.