Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 20
Falkirk
FAL
Dundee United
DUD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Falkirk35%
Draw25%
Dundee United40%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.65
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–17.3%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dundee United get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession46%
32%Territory33%
11%From set plays48%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.