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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 20

Dundee FC

DUN

St. Mirren

STM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dundee FC42%
Draw26%
St. Mirren33%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.43

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

St. Mirren will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

36%Possession46%
26%Territory34%
26%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 4 for St. Mirren. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.