Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 20
Dundee FC
DUN
St. Mirren
STM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee FC53%
Draw23%
St. Mirren24%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.28
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–07.4%
- 2–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dundee FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession50%
26%Territory30%
48%From set plays28%
0.14Chance quality0.12
6.5%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 4 for St. Mirren. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.