Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 20
Celtic
CEL
Motherwell
MOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celtic62%
Draw20%
Motherwell17%
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.17
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–08.4%
- 1–07.9%
- 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession64%
48%Territory40%
11%From set plays14%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.4%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celtic, 4 for Motherwell.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.