Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 19
Rangers
RAN
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rangers66%
Draw18%
Hearts16%
Expected goals
2.54 – 1.26
Over 2.5
72%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.2%
- 3–17.7%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–17.3%
- 1–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rangers will have the ball; Hearts will not mind.
58%Possession48%
41%Territory36%
12%From set plays49%
0.15Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rangers, 3 for Hearts. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.