Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 19
Rangers
RAN
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rangers49%
Draw25%
Hearts26%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.25
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession57%
34%Territory31%
22%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rangers, 4 for Hearts.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.