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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 19

Motherwell

MOT

Dundee FC

DUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Motherwell50%
Draw24%
Dundee FC26%

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.33

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 2–07.0%
  • 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dundee FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession48%
33%Territory26%
21%From set plays48%
0.14Chance quality0.14
5.1%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.