Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 19
Hibernian
HIB
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hibernian47%
Draw24%
St. Johnstone28%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.37
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession50%
39%Territory36%
18%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.14
4.2%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hibernian, 4 for St. Johnstone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.