Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 19
Hibernian
HIB
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hibernian53%
Draw25%
St. Johnstone23%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.11
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hibernian will have the ball; St. Johnstone will not mind.
56%Possession42%
32%Territory36%
44%From set plays40%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hibernian, 4 for St. Johnstone. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.