Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 19
Dundee United
DUD
Kilmarnock
KIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee United53%
Draw23%
Kilmarnock24%
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.30
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–07.3%
- 2–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dundee United get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession46%
33%Territory39%
48%From set plays32%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee United, 4 for Kilmarnock. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kilmarnock
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.