Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 19
Aberdeen
ABE
Celtic
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aberdeen24%
Draw25%
Celtic51%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–28.1%
- 1–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celtic will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.
41%Possession61%
32%Territory48%
33%From set plays11%
0.07Chance quality0.14
5.5%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Aberdeen, 4 for Celtic.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.