Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 19
Aberdeen
ABE
Celtic
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aberdeen30%
Draw25%
Celtic44%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.67
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.3%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celtic will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.
45%Possession61%
36%Territory43%
33%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aberdeen, 4 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.