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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 18

Kilmarnock

KIL

Dundee FC

DUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kilmarnock40%
Draw26%
Dundee FC34%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.42

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 0–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Kilmarnock will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

46%Possession36%
39%Territory26%
33%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kilmarnock, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.