Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 18
Kilmarnock
KIL
Dundee FC
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kilmarnock41%
Draw24%
Dundee FC35%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.69
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–05.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dundee FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession48%
37%Territory26%
26%From set plays48%
0.12Chance quality0.14
6.7%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kilmarnock, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.