Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 18
Falkirk
FAL
Aberdeen
ABE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Falkirk41%
Draw27%
Aberdeen32%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.32
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Aberdeen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession41%
32%Territory32%
11%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.07
6.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 4 for Aberdeen.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.