Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 18
Dundee United
DUD
St. Mirren
STM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee United48%
Draw24%
St. Mirren29%
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.46
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.2%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dundee United get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession46%
33%Territory34%
48%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee United, 4 for St. Mirren. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.