Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 17
St. Mirren
STM
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Mirren37%
Draw25%
Hearts38%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.62
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.0%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hearts will have the ball; St. Mirren will not mind.
46%Possession57%
34%Territory31%
18%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.12
7.3%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Mirren, 4 for Hearts.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.