Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 17
Hibernian
HIB
Rangers
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hibernian32%
Draw26%
Rangers42%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.63
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession51%
39%Territory34%
18%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.2%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hibernian, 4 for Rangers.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.