Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 17
Hibernian
HIB
Rangers
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hibernian27%
Draw25%
Rangers48%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.70
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hibernian get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession58%
32%Territory41%
44%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.15
5.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hibernian, 3 for Rangers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.