Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 17
Dundee FC
DUN
Falkirk
FAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee FC47%
Draw25%
Falkirk28%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.26
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.2%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dundee FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession41%
26%Territory28%
48%From set plays16%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 4 for Falkirk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.