Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 17
Aberdeen
ABE
Dundee United
DUD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aberdeen47%
Draw26%
Dundee United27%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.21
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession47%
36%Territory36%
33%From set plays29%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aberdeen, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.