Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 17
Aberdeen
ABE
Dundee United
DUD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aberdeen36%
Draw27%
Dundee United37%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.48
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–28.3%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession46%
32%Territory33%
33%From set plays48%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Aberdeen, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.