Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 16
St. Johnstone
STJ
St. Mirren
STM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Johnstone39%
Draw26%
St. Mirren35%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.44
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Mirren will have the ball; St. Johnstone will not mind.
42%Possession50%
36%Territory30%
40%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Johnstone, 4 for St. Mirren.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.