Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 16
St. Johnstone
STJ
St. Mirren
STM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Johnstone42%
Draw25%
St. Mirren33%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.51
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.6%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession46%
36%Territory34%
15%From set plays18%
0.14Chance quality0.11
3.4%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Johnstone, 4 for St. Mirren.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.