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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 16

Kilmarnock

KIL

Hibernian

HIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kilmarnock36%
Draw26%
Hibernian38%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.57

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hibernian will have the ball; Kilmarnock will not mind.

46%Possession56%
39%Territory39%
32%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.3%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kilmarnock, 4 for Hibernian.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.