Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 16
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Aberdeen
ABE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hearts54%
Draw24%
Aberdeen22%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.11
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.7%
- 0–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hearts will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.
57%Possession41%
31%Territory32%
26%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.07
6.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hearts, 4 for Aberdeen.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.