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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 16

Falkirk

FAL

Motherwell

MOT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Falkirk33%
Draw28%
Motherwell39%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.40

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Motherwell will have the ball; Falkirk will not mind.

41%Possession50%
28%Territory33%
16%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.14
7.6%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 4 for Motherwell.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.