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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 16

Dundee FC

DUN

Celtic

CEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dundee FC28%
Draw23%
Celtic49%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.93

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.8%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 2–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celtic will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

48%Possession61%
26%Territory43%
48%From set plays20%
0.14Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 4 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.