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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 16

Dundee FC

DUN

Celtic

CEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dundee FC26%
Draw24%
Celtic50%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.80

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.8%
  • 129.6%
  • 019.0%
  • 027.4%
  • 216.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celtic will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

36%Possession61%
26%Territory48%
26%From set plays11%
0.13Chance quality0.14
5.6%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 4 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.