Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 15
Rangers
RAN
Falkirk
FAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rangers62%
Draw22%
Falkirk17%
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.01
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.2%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.8%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rangers will have the ball; Falkirk will not mind.
58%Possession41%
41%Territory28%
12%From set plays16%
0.15Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rangers, 4 for Falkirk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.