Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 15
Motherwell
MOT
Hibernian
HIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motherwell50%
Draw26%
Hibernian24%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.10
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hibernian get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession56%
33%Territory32%
21%From set plays44%
0.14Chance quality0.11
5.1%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 3 for Hibernian. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Motherwell
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.