Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 15
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Celtic
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hearts25%
Draw22%
Celtic53%
Expected goals
1.44 – 2.12
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.3%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–26.6%
- 0–16.6%
- 0–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celtic will have the ball; Hearts will not mind.
48%Possession61%
36%Territory43%
49%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.13
7.3%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hearts, 4 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.