Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 15
Dundee United
DUD
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee United49%
Draw24%
St. Johnstone27%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.38
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–06.7%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dundee United get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession50%
33%Territory36%
48%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.6%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee United, 4 for St. Johnstone. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.