Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 15
Dundee United
DUD
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee United54%
Draw24%
St. Johnstone22%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.17
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession42%
36%Territory36%
29%From set plays40%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee United, 4 for St. Johnstone. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.